Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Pigskin picks

College football season came along at just the right time.
Finally, mercifully, we have something to talk about other than a certain quarterback/canine torturer and the Atlanta Braves' slow fade to unconsciousness.
I'm watching ‘‘College Football Live'' on ESPN right now and I have chills. They just showed footage from Mississippi State's pep rally and Sylvester Croom was talking about ''seizing the opportunity.''
The guy may not win many football games, but he gives a good speech.
I'm going to seize this opportunity to make a few predictions. Feel free to contribute your own in the discussion forum:

Thursday night

No. 2 LSU at Mississipp State
LSU returns 15 starters from an 11-2 team. Matt Flynn takes over for JaMarcus Russell at quarterback, but he’ll have no trouble thanks to targets like Early Doucet.
Prediction: LSU 31, Mississippi State 10

Saturday’s games of SEC/ACC interest

Oklahoma State at No. 13 Georgia
The Cowboys could present problems for the Bulldogs, who are breaking in new starters at defensive end, linebacker and cornerback. Oklahoma State averaged more than 200 yards per game rushing and passing last season, but their opponents moved the ball almost as well against a suspect defense.
Prediction: Georgia 28, Okie State 24

Kansas State at No. 18 Auburn
The absence of tailback Brad Lester could prevent Auburn's offense from breaking out in a big way. Auburn may get tested a little, but next week’s game against South Florida should really worry them.
Prediction: Auburn 21, Kansas State 13

Troy at No. 21 Arkansas
This could be a trap game for Arkansas, given Troy’s quirky offense and confidence coming off a bowl season. If the Trojans follow the lead of some enterprising Razorback fans and file a Freedom of Information Act request for Houston Nutt’s cell phone records before kickoff, they might distract him into forgetting for a moment that he has Darren McFadden and Felix Jones to carry the offense.
Prediction: Arkansas 31, Troy 21

Western Carolina at Alabama
The Nick Saban Era begins. Reckon anybody will show up for this one?
The Tide drew more than 92,000 for their spring game, but that occasion offered the promise of better competition.
Prediction: Ragin’ Sabans 42, Catamounts 3

Georgia Tech at Notre Dame
Notre Dame coach Charlie Weis declined to reveal the identity of his starting quarterback to the masses until the first offensive snap.
Yawn.
Might be a bigger deal if the Irish were expected to be better than 7-5.
Prediction: Georgia Tech 20, Golden Domers 10

No. 15 Tennessee at No. 12 California
The Vols administered a 35-18 beatdown last year in Knoxville, but Cal acts as if it never happened. Tennessee’s secondary should handle Cal star wideout Desean Jackson and QB Nate Longshore well enough to expose another Pac-10 pretender.
UT Erik Ainge has a broken pinky finger on his throwing hand, but will still play.
Prediction: Tennessee 21, Cal 17

Western Kentucky at No. 6 Florida
Why even bother scheduling this one?
Better still, why bother talking about it?
Prediction: Defending National Champions 45, Western Kentucky 7

Eastern Kentucky at Kentucky
The Wildcats should take an early lead in the race for the state championship. That should hold up until they face Louisville.
Prediction: Kentucky 38, Eastern Kentucky 20

Richmond at Vanderbilt
The Commodores keep hope alive that they will end their bowl drought this season. Which means it won't be until next week before the extinguishment of all hope begins.
Prediction: Vandy 28, Richmond 13

Louisiana-Lafayette at South Carolina
Academic problems will keep South Carolina quarterback Blake Mitchell on the sidelines, but coach Steve Spurrier has dealt with turmoil at the position in the past. Prized recruit Chris Smelley will get the start and he might not relinquish the job.
Prediction: South Carolina 28, Laughfayette 10

Ole Miss at Memphis
I ranked Ed Orgeron at the bottom of my preseason ranking of SEC coaches. One Ole Miss fan wrote back: ''You'd better be ready to apologize when we're in Atlanta.''
The e-mailer probably meant he would be in Atlanta on vacation.
Surely he didn't mean to suggest the Rebs would be playing for the league title.
Prediction: Ole Miss 14, Memphis 10

Monday, August 27, 2007

All in all, not bad

ATLANTA — After another quarter of rumination, my opinion remains unchanged.
It’s difficult for me to see the Atlanta Falcons as anything more than a 7-9 team this season, but I’m impressed with what I’ve seen from them against the Bengals tonight.
Quarterback Joey Harrington looked pretty sharp -- 13-of-21 for 164 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions in a little more than a half of work. Running back Jerious Norwood made a sweet run along a tight-rope to turn a short dump pass into a 12-yard touchdown in the third quarter.
Head coach Bobby Petrino's offense has been creative in getting its play-makers involved. Tight end Alge Crumpler has lined up in the backfield as a fullback and he’s been flexed out wide. Harrington has been particularly crisp operating out of a five-wide receiver shotgun formation. His 28-yard touchdown pass to Adam Jennings in the first half came out of the spread.
Yep, it's preseason and there are issues for this team to address, but the Falcons look far from hopeless.
Settling in

ATLANTA -- When it comes to athleticism, Atlanta Falcons quarterback Joey Harrington will never be mistaken for Michael Vick.
But after watching him here in the first quarter at the Georgia Dome, I’m impressed. Yes, it’s only a preseason game, but he’s shown off some nimble feet and a lively throwing arm.
More importantly, he hasn’t thrown into double coverage, committed any turnovers or done the mind-numbing things that caused people to write him off when he was in Detroit.
Harrington just directed a smart, 10-play, 80-yard touchdown drive to give the Falcons an early lead against Cincinnati. He’s 6-for-6 for 76 yards so far, and his 28-yard scoring strike to Adam Jennings was a thing of beauty. Working with five receivers out of the shotgun, Harrington looked off the safety before laying a beautiful ball into Jennings' hands on a post-corner route.
I’m becoming convinced Harrington may be better than advertised.
However, I remain unconverted on the possibility of the Falcons being anything more than a 7-9 team this season.
So, what happens now?

ATLANTA — It's two hours before kickoff, and there are three vehicles in the Georgia Dome parking lot I've chosen.
It's two hours before kickoff of the Atlanta-Cincinnati exhibition game, and there’s little in the way of tailgating or enthusiasm.
It's two hours before kickoff and, for the streetcorner entrepreneurs, business is as slow as rush hour traffic on the Downtown Connector. A vendor stands beneath a tent a block from the stadium, waiting for someone, anyone, to walk up and express interest in buying a jersey. There's Warrick Dunn’s No. 28, Alge Crumpler's 83 and there, hiding on a hanger at the end of the line, a No. 7.
It’s two hours before kickoff and there are no PETA activists picketing at the gates. Nor is there any grand mobilization of Michael Vick supporters.
Just an empty dome and the realization that Monday’s developments in a Richmond, Va., courtroom likely set Atlanta pro football back more than a decade.
The Falcons will undoubtedly move on without Vick, but what’s your take on the apology issued by the quarterback? Do you believe Vick struck the right chord with his remarks and do you think they will carry any weight with either the U.S. District Court Judge Henry Hudson or NFL commissioner Roger Goodell, the men who will ultimately determine his punishment and possibility for a return to pro football?
I'll weigh in with a column in Tuesday morning’s Ledger-Enquirer.

Monday, August 20, 2007

The Little Stiff-Arm Guy

Got an express mail envelope from the Downtown Athletic Club the other day, the contents of which finally got me revved up about the impending start of college football.
Enclosed was the informational packet the group sends to its Heisman Trophy voters at the start of every season. I've been a voter for the last four years, one of 800 or so nationwide, and I take it seriously.
In addition to fanning out all over the Southeast to cover games on Saturdays, I record West Coast games and other matchups of interest so I can get a look at players I might not otherwise see first-hand.
My ballot last year looked like this:
1. Troy Smith, Ohio State (Yeah, I wanted to take that one back after the BCS championship game)
2. Darren McFadden, Arkansas
3. Ian Johnson, Boise State (felt better about that after his Statue of Liberty touchdown run against Texas in the Fiesta Bowl)
Just off my list were former Georgia Tech receiver Calvin Johnson, who would have had a second-place vote if not for the fact that I witnessed the Clemson game in person and saw him get shut out, and Hawaii quarterback Colt Brennan.
I'll admit I have a few fundamental problems with the description of the Heisman Trophy. It doesn't truly measure the best overall player in the country. It's for the guys who play the glamor positions. I try to consider linemen and defensive players before putting together my ballot, but they're more difficult to judge. There's more of a statistical body of work for quarterbacks, running backs, etc., than there is for strong safeties and left tackles.
Thankfully, the Outland Trophy and Nagurski Award give a nod to those guys.
That said, here's my preseason watch list. Feel free to contribute your own in the discussion forum.

PRESEASON HEISMAN FAVORITES

1. Darren McFadden, Arkansas: A big tailback with blazing speed (Hmm, Bo and Herschel come to mind). He shredded defenses for 1,647 yards and 14 TDs despite sharing carries with another 1,000-yard rusher in Felix Jones. He's the most dynamic running back I've seen in a while. D-Mac also deserves props for the three TD passes he threw for last season out of the Wildcat formation. What separates him from others, in my mind, is that he produces against the SEC's top defensive units.

2. Steve Slaton, West Virginia: If his teammate, QB Pat White, is the fastest player on the field most Saturdays, then Slaton is the second-fastest by a split second. Check this out: 7.2 yards per carry last season and 1,744 yards out of the Mountaineers' spread option offense. He's probably my favorite player to watch. White should get some love from voters as well, especially if his passing becomes more prominent.

3. John David Booty, USC: The Beastie Boys once asked the question: ''Professor, what's another word for pirate treasure?'' The answer: ''I believe it's Booty! Booty! Yes, that's what it is.'' His stats were nice enough -- 3,347 passing yards, 29 TDs, nine interceptions and a 61 percent completion rate. But he runs the offense of a potential national champion. That's enough to merit consideration, although I'm not entirely convinced he's the best quarterback in the country. I'm digging Brian Brohm at Louisville, Brennan at Hawaii, White at West Virginia, Andre Woodson at Kentucky and Colt McCoy at Texas.

4. Ian Johnson, Boise State: In addition to willing Boise to victory against Texas in last season's bowl game, this guy rolled up 1,714 yards and 25 TDs. He was the engine that drove a very good and very underappreciated team. He's kind of a grinder, not the sort of guy who breaks off big, flashy runs, but very dependable.

5. Colt Brennan, Hawaii: Last season's work was the stuff of a fevered XBoxers imagination -- 5,549 passing yards, 58 TDs and a 72.6 percent completion rate. I know, I know. The run-and-shoot also gave us the likes of Andre Ware and David Klingler, but hear me out. The mighty Warriors could sneak into the top 25 this year and they could do even better than that. They might be this year's Boise, a surprise team that challenges for a BCS berth.

On the fringe: Mike Hart (RB, Michigan), Brian Brohm (QB, Louisville), Percy Harvin (WR/RB, Florida), Desean Jackson (WR, Cal).

Friday, August 17, 2007

On an island

Two of the co-defendants in the dogfighting case involving Atlanta Falcons quarterback Michael Vick entered guilty pleas today.
That leaves Vick isolated and puts some serious pressure on him.
Apparently, federal prosecutors have entered into evidence a photo that shows Vick and the other three defendants with a pitbull they entered into a dog fight. There's been non-stop speculation about whether Vick would try to enter a plea rather than go to trial and risk a five-year prison sentence (and possibly more if racketeering charges are added on).
Do you think Vick’s NFL career is over no matter what course of action he follows?

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Barrypalooza

ATLANTA — It’s 11 p.m. here at Turner Field. The Braves beat the Giants 5-4, Atlanta manager Bobby Cox cursed his way into the recordbooks, Barry Bonds remains stuck on 758 career homers and Hank Aaron left town to avoid the circus.
Here's a possible talking point for loyal blog readers (OK, this one’s for you, Mom) -- Does the fact that Aaron headed out of town for the duration of the Atlanta-San Francisco series do anything to diminish his reputation for class?
Aaron congratulated Bonds when he hit No. 756, although it was done via videotape and more than likely through gritted teeth. But it was a nice gesture and Aaron was universally applauded for reaching out to Bonds even though the Giants’ slugger has been universally painted as a test subject for BALCO chemists.
This isn't intended to be a referendum on Bonds' guilt or innocence. The book ''Game of Shadows'' lays out some pretty interesting -- and credible -- information, but Bonds has insisted he never knowingly took performance enhancing drugs. The Mitchell investigation will hopefully answer questions about the authenticity of his record.
But I'm wondering whether Aaron missed an opportunity tonight as a baseball statesman.
Should he have stuck around, welcomed Bonds to Turner Field, shaken his hand and posed for photographs?
Would doing so have marked another step for Aaron on the high road or would it have been seen as a false front?
What do you think?
History at the Ted

ATLANTA — Barry Bonds’ first visit to Atlanta as Major League Baseball's career home run leader was a bust.
He’s still stuck on 758 and still hasn't spoken with Hank Aaron face-to-face since passing him on the home run chart.
Bonds drew a pair of walks and hit into a fielder’s choice before being replaced by Rajai Davis in the bottom of the fifth inning.
The most exciting moment of the night thus far came after the fifth inning, when Atlanta manager Bobby Cox got ejected for the 132nd time in his career. Home plate ump Larry Young rang him up a few moments after Chipper Jones went down looking at a called third strike to end the inning.
They didn't stop the game and memorialize the moment, but they should have.
Cox became Major League Baseball's all-time leader in ejections.
Maybe one day, after Cox’s eventual enshrinement in Cooperstown, the hall of fame display will feature an audio file of his favorite profanity.
Avoidance issues

ATLANTA — The Barry Bonds Watch here at Turner Field as allowed me to witness the following:
A lead-off walk on a 3-1 pitch in the second inning.
An intentional walk with two outs and a runner on second in the third inning.
Atlanta right-hander John Smoltz hasn't given Behemoth Barry anything to hit so far, but the strategy hasn't worked out in the Braves' favor. They’re down 3-0 in the top of the fifth, with Bonds having scored twice, and are absolutely getting handled by San Francisco righty Kevin Correia, who came in with a 1-6 record and 4.14 ERA. He’s had excellent command, but the Braves' free swinging approaches at the plate are making him look like Jake Peavy of a lesser god.
Junk Bonds

ATLANTA -- Maybe I'm reading too much into it, but I don’t think folks at Turner Field are especially enthusiastic about Barry Bonds and the San Francisco Giants being in town for a three-game series.
The pre-game festivities included a tribute to fallen law enforcement officers that included a 45-member procession of motorcycle policemen, complete with revving engines and flashing lights. As the group rode around the perimeter of the field, the stadium speakers blared the old Inner Circle reggae song ‘‘Bad Boys.‘‘
Wonder if that was intended as some sort of commentary on Bonds, the subject of so much steroid speculation.
Just before first pitch, the congratulatory message offered by Hank Aaron on the night of Bonds’ 756th career homer was played on the Turner Field scoreboard. The crowd gave an enthusiastic ovation to Aaron, but booed lustily when Bonds was pictured waving from the dugout.

Monday, August 13, 2007

B*nds, Barry B*nds

I really should use this forum to discuss college football, but I'm interested in your thoughts about Barry Bonds.
I'll be heading to Atlanta to cover Tuesday night’s game against the Braves and look forward to chatting with the always-cheerful Mr. Bonds at some point. Who knows? If I'm lucky, maybe he'll let me break out the calipers and measure his ever-growing cranium.
Barring an indictment for perjury or tax evasion, Bonds will probably be able to wring a few more years out of his major league career. It's entirely possible he could finish his career with upwards of 830 homers, leaving A-Rod will some serious work.
My question to you is this: If conclusive evidence surfaces that Bonds used steroids, how should Major League Baseball treat his status as the home run record-holder?
Do you think it should disqualify him from hall of fame consideration?
Do you think that the record should stand since steroid use may have been rampant among pitchers and power hitters in the 1990s?