Saturday, March 31, 2007

Final Foresight

The best sporting event in the world will tip off in, oh, about T-minus six hours and counting.
In terms of drama and edge-of-the-seat entertainment, there’s really nothing else that can compare to the NCAA Final Four.
So let’s make a few predictions. I've been correct on a few thus far -- I had Florida, UCLA and Georgetown in my Final Four, but so did another 23.4 million or so hoopheads globally. That Kreskin-like power of prediction emboldens me to bounce these ideas out into the blogosphere:

UCLA vs. FLORIDA
Breakdown: UCLA represents the basketball equivalent of fingernails scraping a chalkboard. The Bruins provide non-stop annoyance on defense, thanks to the trapping defense employed by coach Ben Howland. They clog passing lanes as quickly as an Outback bloomin' onion will your arteries and often produce turnovers with well-timed low post double-teams.
Florida represents a much tougher assignment in that regard because big men Al Horford and Joakim Noah have decent handle and are excellent passers. Plus, the Gators can use 6-foot-8 Corey Brewer as a psuedo-point guard of sorts to see over defense if necessary.
Both teams will rip it from 3-point range. The Gators knock down 40 percent from beyond the arc, while UCLA's Arron Afflalo, Darren Collison and Josh Shipp can fill it up.
To me, the game will hinge on whether UCLA can deny the low post from the Gators.
Prediction: Florida guard Taurean Green breaks down the UCLA defense and Horford and Noah prove to be too much too handle ... Florida 78, UCLA 73.

GEORGETOWN vs. OHIO STATE
Breakdown: This will be like the movie Jurassic Park, where the T-Rex's fight each other to the death. It's rare to see two 7-foot players of comparable ability joust at the college level. Takes me back to the days of my youth -- Ralph Sampson vs. Patrick Ewing.
Georgetown's 7-foot-2 Roy Hibbert isn't quite as dynamic as Ewing was, but he takes up a LOT of space and plays air traffic controller in the lane. Ohio State 7-footer Greg Oden may be a freshman, but check the birth certificate. I swear he looks like he's 32, at least.
The only problem is that both players have demonstrated a knack for getting into early foul trouble. Hopefully, the referees won't call it too tight and deprive us of a great individual matchup.
Both teams have outstanding supporting casts as well, with forward Jeff Green driving the Hoyas’ bus and point guard Mike Conley Jr. and shooter Ron Lewis making clutch shots for the Buckeyes.
Prediction: The Hoyas and Buckeyes are even in personnel, but I love Georgetown's concepts. They play a variation of the Princeton offense and run back cuts better than those slow-footed Ivy Leaguers. ... Georgetown 81, OSU 78.

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